Latest News

Bonds Rally Ahead of Fed Meeting

Home loan rates have enjoyed the 6th consecutive weekly decline as bond friendly news continues to hit the wires. Let's review what is happening in the financial markets, the economy and prepare for a big news week ahead. Winning Streak Extends to Six Through late October, we were experiencing one of the worst bond market/interest […]

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Home Loan Rates Ease Further

Home loan rates continued their decline which started at the beginning of November. Let's look at what happened this past week and prepare for the big news ahead. Bonds Enjoy the Best Month in Forty Years So how good has the bond market been in November? According to Bloomberg's widely followed U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, […]

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Inflation Eased, Bonds Pleased

This past week interest rates held near the best levels in two months in response to bond-friendly news. Let's review what happened last week and look at what to watch for this coming week. Inflation is Declining Disinflation, or the rate of inflation declining, is in full bloom. The Consumer Price Index was reported on […]

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Rates Improve As Fed Tone Softens

This past week, interest rates held steady and near the best levels in over one month. Let's look at what happened last week and peek into the week ahead. Treasury Selling More Debt Last week, the Treasury Department sold over $100 billion worth of Treasuries, to fund the government. The increase in our deficit spending […]

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Fed Pauses, Rates Decline

This past week, the Federal Reserve did not raise rates, and long-term rates, like mortgages, declined to the best levels in a month. Let's discuss what happened and discuss the big news items to watch for this coming week. The Fed On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve issued its monetary policy statement and decided to hold […]

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The Fed Was Quiet, The Markets Were Not

This past week, home loan rates hovered near the highest levels in this century. Let's look at what moved the markets and look into the week ahead. European Central Bank Pauses Rates Hikes European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde did not hike rates this past week, citing economic weakness. This action and statement from […]

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Headwinds And Unsustainable Trends

This past week home loan rates touched the highest levels in this century. Let's talk about the recent headwinds for interest rates and other big events as we march toward the next Fed meeting on November 1st. Headwind #1 - QT Back in 2020, to stabilize the U.S. bond markets, the Federal Reserve began a […]

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Significant Upside Inflation Risks Continue

This past week, the minutes from the July Fed Meeting were released. The news didn't help home loan rates, which ticked up to the peaks of last year. Let's look at what happened and talk about the headline risk for this week. "Uncertainty of the U.S. economic outlook remains elevated"... FOMC minutes from the July […]

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Higher Energy Prices Lift Inflation in August

Inflation perked up, yet interest rates improved from key levels. Let's walk through the big financial news of last week as we approach this Wednesday's Fed Meeting. Tale Of Two Inflations Last Wednesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 0.6% for the month, lifting the annual rate to 3.7%, both of which […]

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Oil Spikes Bring Fear of Rate Hikes

September has been a rough month so far for bonds and rates. Let's discuss the big headlines last week in the financial markets. Oil Gushing Higher The price of oil has been on the rise, hitting 10-month highs, due to lower supply levels and production cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia. This rise has also […]

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